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美国生物立法程序已经启动
司南磁山
2024-02-02 13:55:18
中国首席体验官:今天上午9点,我们与长期驻华盛顿的美国医疗政策分析师安德鲁·布雷斯勒进行了电话交谈,共吸引了151人报名。不幸的是,在立法的不确定性和中国首席执行官面临的覆盖面/影响程度方面,关键要点为《生物安全法案》画上了悲观的基调。可能会打消那些决定远离动荡并尽早卖出的人的疑虑:
1.立法时间表:1月31日,在由Gary Peters主持的参议院国土安全委员会上,已有6名参议员获得投票。
这是一个时间问题,最早可能在下周提交众议院讨论。NDA预计将在年底/第四季度24与立法可能最早明年3月。
2.覆盖的深度/范围可能被低估。有些人认为“只有联邦政府资助项目“会受到影响,这是可能的,生物技术项目/医院/设备沿美国供应(价值)链,利用美国医疗保险,即医疗保险,医疗补助等。可能会受到影响。3.对正在进行多年的现有/未来项目的影响?美国的临床/临床前试验可能受影响较小,但基因组学肯定是敏感的。关键是数据控制是美国还是中国,如果美国控制不了,可能就没有什么谈判的空间了。
4.立法程序已经启动,如何逃避?选项包括更换mamt(可能会考虑,但不能保证确定),游说(但在这一阶段,这将需要时间和结论。关键是中国cos的举证责任证明没有数据安全隐患目前不在名单上的名字可能有机会为调查做好准备。0
5.从今天投资者提问的方式来看,对立法时间表、规避方式等话题的关注恰恰表明,仍有很多投资者在存钱,希望听到一些转机的场景。但他们可能会有点失望
安德鲁布莱斯勒的简历:布莱斯勒涵盖在华盛顿特区的医疗保健。定期的研究报告包括华盛顿健康季刊

China CX0: Today 9AM call w/ our long-standing, DC based US Medical Policy analyst Andrew Bresslerattracted 151 sign-ups.Unfortunately, the key takeaways paint a bearish tone on the Biosecure Act Bil in terms of legislationuncertainty and extent of coverage/impact facing China CXOs. Probably reassure those who decide tostep away from the turmoil and sell early:

1. Legislation timetable: Already 6 senator votes secured at the Senate Homeland Security Committeechaired by Gary Peters on Jan 31.

It's a matter of time and likely earliest by next week to be passed to the House for discussions. NDAexpected to be end of year 14024 with legislation probably by March next year earliest.2. Depth/Extent of coverage could be under-estimated. Against some belief that "only federally fundedprojects" would be affected, it is possible that biotech projects /hospitals/ equipment along the US supply(value) chain that taps the US healthcare insurance i.e. Medicare, Medicaid etc. might be affected.3. Impact to existing/future projects ongoing for years? Clinical/ pre-clinical trials in US might be lessaffected, but e.g. genomics would be sensitive for sure. Key is whether US or China cos are handling thedata control; there might be little room to negotiate if it's out of US control.4. Ways to evade as legislation process has started? Options include changing mamt (might be consideredbut not guaranteed ok), lobbying (but it will take time and inconclusive at this stage). Key is China cosburden of proof to show no data security risks. There might be a chance for names currently not on thelist to get prepared in case of inquiries though.5. From the ways investors were asking questions today, the focus on topics like legislation timetableways to evade just shows that stil many investors are parking money and hoping to hear someturnaround scenarios...but they might get a bit disappointed.

Andrew Bressler's Bio: Bressler covers Health Care in Washington DC. Regular Research reports includeOuarterly Washington Healt

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  • 只看TA
    02-02 14:04
    英语不好,直接百度翻译的,不知准确不,英语好的看原文
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